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The literature on Dynamic Spatial Modelling
often contains statements like "
GIS is not suitable
for dynamic spatial decision support". The questions which
then arise, are: "Why not?" and if it is true, "What
should be done to improve the situation?". This report examines
these questions and describes the development of an evaluation
framework for the comparison of two new dynamic spatial decision
support systems (SDSS) on trial in the Netherlands.
The study begins with a review of the
requirements and the problem areas of planners and decisionmakers.
Also, a landuse-planning case is introduced as a theme to be used
throughout the study. The review and case study are used to develop
an initial set of criteria for the evaluation of decision-making
support systems. These criteria are extended during the rest of
the study.
The next chapter discusses where and how
information technology can support the planning processes. This
chapter pays special attention to the specific aspect of the dynamic
spatial modelling engine needed for a dynamic SDSS. Therefore,
this section includes a thorough review of current dynamic spatial
modelling methods. These include time-series multi-criteria potential
overlay, fractals, raster map algebra, cellular automata and multi-agent
methods.
The following chapter compares two new
SDSS prototypes with the criteria developed during the previous
sections. The two prototypes which were specifically designed
for landuse change forecasting are:
- the "Landuse-Planner", a
co-operative information system for national landuse planning
developed by RIVM, LEI-DLO,SC-DLO,RPD,VU_Amsterdam & GEODAN,
- and "RAMCO", a decision support
system for regional resource planning developed by the RIKS
and the Dutch Institute for Coastal and Marine Management.
Finally a proposal is made for a conceptual
design of a space-time decision support system (STDSS) which integrates
the ideas reviewed and discussed.
This information age is upon us and organisations
are investing in information systems (IS) to increase competitive
advantage and profit. The typical development stages of an IS
within an organisation may be modelled and a common goal for such
systems is to be open in terms of the systems themselves
and the data upon which they rely. Geographic information systems
(GIS), being a subset of IS, should be no different in terms of
this goal. However, the complex demands of the operations which
GIS are expected to perform have lead to the popular hybrid architecture
which has resulted in GIS-islands and vendor lock-in. Consequently,
it is proposed that GIS do not progress through the stages of
growth model as would be expected and that instead, they tend
to falter at the stand-alone stage.
By changing the architecture from the
hybrid model to one which is database centric, GIS may progress
more easily beyond this stand-alone stage and thus become more
integrated with other IS within the organisation. This should
in turn allow the organisation to use the GIS technology more
strategically and share the data throughout the enterprise. A
spatially enabled database which supports this database-centric
approach, allows both the spatial and attribute data to be stored
openly in the same database. This study examines the strength
of this proposition in order to support detailing how a
database may be spatially enabled and two applications have been
developed to illustrate this.
In referring to GIS projects, Reeve (1995)
stated that "it is only when technology is successfully married
with appropriate organisational structures that any real benefit
accrues".
This dissertation examines
the organisational issues that regularly beset modern information
systems (IS). Cartography has traditionally been controlled through
the use of Critical Path Analysis (CPA), but modern Cartography/Geographical
Information Systems (GIS) are too complex for simple CPA. Mainstream
computer projects are notorious for running late and being over
budget, with a fair percentage failing to meet user requirements,
which suggests that something very important to the survival of
a project is missing. The failure to acknowledge the organisational
and staffing issues is thought to be the cause of some of the
failures.
Project management, which is characterised by new ways of doing
things, used methodologies, to combat these failures. This study
initially reviews the subjects of project management, types of
organisational groups and systems theory, in order to maintain
a totally unbiased view of project management. This is important
so as not to distort the views relative to GIS during the study.
Given the complexities of the IS/IT (Information
Technology) field it was difficult to define GIS place in
the business field. GIS is examined stage by stage, separately
from project management to compare its needs relative to
IS/IT and MIS (Management Information Systems). It was found that
GIS general requirements were not too far removed from those
of MIS, and therefore could utilise similar methodologies for
its management. Several lifecycle models were examined from
which a best course for the management of a GIS was established,
but nowhere was there to be found a perfect methodology. This
was because the complexity of organisations coupled with the variety
of projects and systems made it highly unlikely that a perfect
match could be found for any system. Therefore the best course
of action ws to ensure that stakeholders were knowledgeable of
the issues involved with these type of projects, and GIS in particular.
In the final section a review of the study summarises GIS
position, suggesting a best way forward for the management of
GIS projects, followed by a few suggestions towards a methodology
for GIS.
Organisations are not stable; they are
forced to react on many changes. As a reaction on interaction
with their environment or due to cost sharing, co-operation is
an important organisational instrument. Merges, joint ventures
or other forms of co-operation occur regularly.
Another organisational instrument is information
technology (IT). Because many organisations produce and use a
large amount of geographically referenced data (especially in
the public sector), many organisations embrace Geographical Information
Systems (GIS) as a specific information technology. Whereas GIS
is growing to maturity and becomes a general accepted instrument
on the one side and co-operation on the other side more often
occurs, the (desired) use of GIS in multi-partner organisations
will be a returning issue. For single-user organisations GIS implementation
projects are complex projects. The implementation must be seen
as a process of organisational change. The implementation of GIS
is a (complex) multi-partner organisation is not the same as implementation
in single user organisation.
A business case (six co-operating Friesian
Water Boards) confirms that a GIS implementation project in a
multi-user organisation is more complex than implementation projects
in single user organisations. The co-operation of the Friesian
Water Boards is therefore not only for economical reasons. The
filling in of an integrated water management approach requires
far-reaching co-operations on several terrains. This enlarges
possibilities for the use in the multi-partner organisation of
the Water Boards. Due to ambition, difference in tempo, the existence
of actual (spatial oriented) bottlenecks and differences in available
resources, the points of departure are not the same.
During a business study is concluded that
GIS co-operation demands of: data-management, standardisation,
a well designed support organisation, communication for the creation
of awareness on several management levels. Beside (simple) pilot
projects (for each organisation) with early deliverables, a new
pilot is introduced during the business study: a joint exploration
project. The exploration project delivers greater insight into
future organisational aspects, and implementation strategies and
may produce some potential GIS-champions.
The design of a support organisation in
a multi-partner environment is complex. Informal communication
is being inferior to a single user organisation. For this reason
short communication channels between specialists is recommended.
Furthermore it is recommended to draw a distinction between central
and de-central tasks on one hand and to draw a distinction between
data management, technical management and application management
on the other.
This dissertation is an investigation into the
use of Agro-ecological zone methodology to make a quantitative
land suitability assessment for the strategic crop (wheat) under
rainfed conditions using geographic information system GIS techniques
as modelling tool. This allows us to answer the following questions:
- Is there sufficient land to meet future food
and agricultural needs?
- Where are the potential utilisable areas
and what is the range of their potential?
- What is the risk of land degradation?
- What are the limitations to production increases?
- Agro-ecological zone projects are suitable
to assess production potential of developing land resources
and provide the physical database necessary for future planning
of agricultural activities especially for areas in dry lands
and developing countries. (Report on the AEZ projects FAO).
-
- Dry and semi-dry environments. Wheat
as one of the most important crops in Syria, could be undergone
to some debate of land suitability for a specific crop within
the Agro-ecological zone (AEZ) methodology.
GIS is a tool useful in supporting the
planner with spatial planning problems. A GIS converts geospatial
data to meaningful information. Generating and managing geospatial
data are cost and time consuming. One way to reduce the costs
is re-using existing geospatial data.
When searching for geospatial data as
input for GIS, it is quickly identified that it is of great importance
to have the geospatial data organised. The data should be organised
in such a way that the user can easily identify whether the data
is suitable geospatial data to perform a specific GIS task.
A helpful tool in here can be a system
or method that collects organises, selects and most of all will
find this suitable geospatial data. Before finding the suitable
geospatial data, characteristics of the geospatial data have to
be defined. These characteristics should be organised in a uniform
way so that it is simple to retrieve, to establish the quality
and provide geospatial data. Systematic recording of all kinds
of characteristics of geospatial data is the basis of a metadata
system.
Planners working at the regional government
of Limburg are dealing with spatial planning problems situated
within the Netherlands, Belgium and Germany. Question arising
when using GIS and searching for geospatial data are amongst:
What data are available? Does the data cover the target area?
How is the quality of the data? Are the data usable for the project?
The metadata of geospatial data have to meet the requirements
of content, quality and availability.
Of great importance of the regional government
is to give answers to describe geospatial data by metadata in
such a way that it meets the requirements of supply and demand:
the search for geospatial data as available in - and outside the
organisation and to get access to this data.
Based on a theoretical evaluation, recommendations
are made to meet the demands of the regional government of Limburg
to support on the one hand the possibilities of registrations
of geospatial data and on the other hand to facilitate access
to this data.
There are several initiatives for the
standardised registration of geospatial metadata. CEN/TC 287 is
a standard developed for registration of this geospatial metadata
at European level. CSDGM in the United States and ISO/TC 211 at
worldwide level. Each geospatial metadata standard describes the
characteristics of the geospatial dataset with help of metadata
elements.
Clearinghouses are initiatives for searching
and tracing geospatial datasets with help of the electronic highway;
the Internet. NCGI, the Dutch clearinghouse gives the regional
government the opportunity to search for geospatial data outside
the organisation. In the future the search will be extended outside
the country. The NCGI works according to the European geospatial
metadata standard, CEN/TC 287. This is the format in which the
organisation of the NCGI will accept the requests and descriptions
of geospatial data.
When investigating the geospatial metadata
standards, it can be concluded that there are similarities in
the metadata elements as used. An important item is that CEN/TC
287 will be dissolved in the future by ISO/TC 211. The questions
remaining are when will this take place, how will the adapted
ISO?TC 211 standard look like and, consequently at what point
in time, will European clearinghouses migrate from CEN- to the
ISO standard?
An implementation of the CEN/TC standard
within the regional government of Limburg at this point of time
implies taking the risk of a short-term solution. A solution showing
more foresight could be implementing a geospatial metadata system
consisting of core metadata elements with additional specific
metadata elements. The core metadata consists of the mandatory
metadata elements of all important geospatial metadata standards
of this time; CEN, ISO, CSDGM added with those elements as used
by clearinghouses to search for geospatial data.
The additional metadata are company own
metadata elements necessary to record for the companies own data
housekeeping and may not be relevant to other organisations.
Implementing a core metadata extended
with additional specific metadata gives the company the possibility
of an independent geospatial metadata standard, the company geospatial
metadata standard. Furthermore, by the suggested translation tables
it is possible to translate the company geospatial metadata elements
into every desirable format of geospatial metadata standard.
In doing so, the implemented companys
geospatial metadata standard company can be independent and will
maintain stable to changes made elsewhere in the field of geospatial
metadata standard.
Estimating forest productivity, expressed as
yield class or site index, is an important requirement for forestry
planning and management. While foresters usually obtain yield
class directly in the course of establishing forest inventories,
an indirect approach is based on the explanatory value of different
ecological variables. Variables which describe the moisture and
nitrogen regime of the soil were derived from forest vegetation
maps representing potential natural forest communities (PNFC).
Combined with topographical parameters derived from a digital
elevation model (DEM) these ecological variables were used to
fit a multiple regression model to predict yield class. In the
course of various investigative analyses of the relations between
explanatory variables and yield class a theory-based pre-selection
of explanatory variables was made in order to avoid over-parameterisation
of the model and minimize multicollinearity. The model accounted
for 60% of yield-class variation. Nitrogen figure, altitude, aspect
(transformed) and the type of parent material proved to be the
best predictive variables.
Because yield class source data were positively
autocorrelated, a continuous thematic surface was regarded as
a better representation than the conventional representation of
non-overlapping polygons. Since all variables were available in
a spatially extensive manner, a grid-based yield-class surface
was calculated using the regression model equation. In a comparison
with a geostatistically estimated reference surface, by means
of Ordinary Kriging, it was found that the regression model underestimated
yield class in areas with maximum growth, in particular.
Although the predictive value of the regression
model is too low to warrant immediate practical application, the
study shows how the complexity of forest vegetation maps can be
simplified and how this integrative information can be used for
forest growth prediction. Finally, certain modifications are outlined
which might help to improve the results and allow a wider applicability
on a regional scale.
The Changing Nature of Business and
the Role of GIS. A Case Study of the Valuation Office (Ireland)
Building the Right System: Using Aspects
of SSADM to Develop a Geographic Information System within the
Environment Agency
To visualise regular 2-D map elements
one can use the Cartographic Grammar as set up by Bertin (1973).
The guidelines he made for visualisation of qualitative, ordinal
and qualitative data sets are used by cartographers all over the
world and can be used by GIS users who like to produce effective
maps.
GIS software and hardware possibilities
however, made it possible to make new kinds of maps from non-regular
data sets. For instance by connecting a database to spatial features
it is possible to make time sequences of each object. But also
the new technical possibilities as multimedia, quick regenerating
red/green 3D images generates new output products. These new possibilities
have a great new impulse in the world of cartography. The possibility
of representing time in maps is one of those new research items.
Research on this new aspect in Cartography
has started. In 1994 MacEachren stated "Animation provides
a new cartographic variable that can increase the possibilities
of exploratory data analysis". He also suggested that "It
should be useful to consider this new variable in relation to
Bertins work".
Subject of interest is to set up new easy
to use rules, just like Bertins grammar, which can be used
by GIS users as a guideline for choosing the most effective representation
to express their particular time variant.
In this thesis these issues are explored
in theory. An overview is given of Bertins theory and the
characteristics of time related geographical data sets. An evaluation
of the extensions made by fellow cartographers to the theory of
Bertin in order to incorporate the factor time in his scheme is
made. Finally, a personal proposal of the representation of time
related geographical data sets is given, based on the theory models
available and extended with new selection criteria. A selection
scheme will help a mapmaker in his creating process based on the
kind of data, goal and technical possibilities.
Scoping into BPR - A Model Assisting
the Application of BPR in GIS
Flevo Lacus was a lake in the Netherlands during
the Roman age and a predecessor of the present Lake Ijessel. According
to the classical geography of Flevo Lacus, that is the geometry
of Flevo Lacus based on available literature, this lake was characterised
by open water conditions directly before the beginning of the
Roman Age. In the Netherlands, the Roman Age commenced when the
Roman general Drusus conquered the present day Netherlands and
Germania territory north of the river Rhine. Therefore, he constructed
a canal from the river Rhine to Flevo Lacus and filled it with
water by damming up the river Waal.
In Microsoft Excel 97, using spreadsheet
functions as the main modelling language, a hudrological model
of Flevo Lacus was built. The cells of a spreadsheet were used
as 1 by 1 kilometre georeferenced rasterpoints. Four rasterpoints
were given special roles, two of them were assumed as the main
inlets of Flevo Lacus (the rivers Ijessel and Vecht), and the
other two as the outlets (the Oer-IJ and the Vlie). These inlets
and outlets were assigned some hydrological characteristics, like
discharge and fluid velocity, as expected directly before and
after the Drususevent (the construction of the Drususcanal and
Drususdam).
Using these boundary conditions, the spreadsheet
model of potential flow was used to calculate the fluid velocity,
in all rasterpoints of Flevo Lacus, directly before and after
the Drususevent. Based on these results, it was concluded that,
due to the formation of peat, no open water conditions could be
found in most parts of Flevo Lacus before the Drususevent. Directly
after the Drususevent, Flevo Lacus developed its open water conditions
by erosion, a process reported by the Romans.
The Application of a Simple GIS, with
GPS Input, as an Aid to Fieldwork
When a new or revised method of information
handling is introduced into an organisation its users have to
learn to use it, a process generally supported by training. This
Paper defines the context within which any organisation selects
training, the market place within which GIS training resources
are offered and the choices that can be made or the reaction between
the context and marketplace.
The context is identified at three levels.
Firstly, at the broadest level, is the ignorance that may exist
of the nature and likely impact of a GIS, the competing demands
for resources and the extended timescale over which GIS training
may need to be delivered. Secondly, other factors concern the
nature of an organisation particularly the degree to which it
is a learning organisation. These are not necessarily
under the control of those who have to plan GIS training. Thirdly,
several detailed considerations are discussed, particularly the
roles of self-development and syllabus.
Two surveys were carried out. A survey
of possible academic and commercial providers of GIS education
and training identified several problems of cost, timeliness and
course content. A case study of a major local authority town planning
department identified many points relating to objectives, budget
and training practices although previous experience of GIS could
help its training strategy.
The Paper agrees with other commentators
that it is the ability of an organisation to learn, adapt and
move on that will provide it with a usable GIS and a staff capable
of using it to good effect. It is important to move in a direction
rather than towards a defined end-point. This Paper concludes,
from its definition of the context and from the surveys, that
the method of training delivery most likely to be effective in
supporting such open-ended implementation will have to be Just-get-by,
a pragmatic blend of Just-in-case academic education, Just-in-time
short course and commercial training and Just-for-you self-teaching
Diffusion of Geographic Information
Systems in Local Government in the Republic of Ireland
As no other the Landscape Architect makes
use of spatial data. The spatial data are collected by the Landscape
Architect himself, on several manners. But at present a lot of
digital files and maps are available. A disadvantage of these
digital files and maps is, that they are not composed by Landscape
Architects. But with some adaptations, these maps and files are
suitable for the tasks of the landscape architect. A GIS provides
information about the world, presented in maps, graphs, and tables,
based on which one may perform actions. The landscape is built
by a number of landscape elements. These elements have a number
of attributes. At first, it must be possible to insert the landscape
(elements) into a GIS. Then and with help of various analysis
and visualisation tools, a GIS is a helpful tool for the Landscape
Architect. But in practice the use of a GIS by the Landscape Architect,
lags behind. This is in contrast with other disciplines. A serious
barrier between the Landscape Architect and GIS forms the language
and the definition of the spatial entity. The language of the
Landscape Architect is an emotional one; the language of a GIS
is not. In order to unite these disciplines it is necessary to
identify a common language. GIS requires definition in absolute
terms. GIS requires that its subjects are classified, so it is
necessary to identify common features in the landscape and then
describe them in absolute terms. Another problem is that the described
features can only partially inserted into a GIS. In the case this
problem is solved by a dual approach between the visual and functional
features. But other options and methods are possible. But when
these problems are solved, or partly solved, a GIS will be a very
useful tool for the activities of the Landscape Architect.
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